Problem #1: An application development manager claims that 75% of programs in the production portfolio are Y2K compliant. The EDP auditor disputes this claim and believes that the proportion is less than claimed. She examines 200 of these programs and discovers that 142 are compliant. 1. Give the appropriate null and one-sided research hypothesis that corresponds to the auditors belief. H0: pi = 0.75 Ha: pi < 0.75 2. Calculate the p-value for the hypotheses stated above. Note that in this case you have a large sample. Since the sample proportion is 142/200=0.71, then p<0.75 and so is consistent with Ha. Assuming H0 true, sigma(p)=sqrt((0.75)*(0.25)/200)=0.031 and mu(p)=pi=0.75, so z is: z = (0.71-0.75)/S(p) = -1.3 Hence the p-value is 50-(80.64)/2=9.68%. 3. Is this significant, highly significant, or non-significant? Non-significant. 4. Comment on the analyst's belief. Since this is a non-significant result, the EDP auditor has insufficient evidence to reject H0 and so has insufficient evidence to challenge the managers claim. Problem #2: A production manager claims that 50% of disk drives coming off a production line have faster seek times than stipulated in the specifications. The QA manager believes that the actual proportion is less than claimed. She takes a sample of 350 drives from a recent production run and finds that 102 are faster. 1. Give the appropriate null and one-sided research hypothesis that corresponds to the QA managers belief. H0: pi = 0.5 Ha: pi < 0.5 2. Conduct a test of hypotheses. Since p=102/350=0.29, then p<0.5 and so is consistent with Ha. Also, assuming H0 true, sigma(p)=sqrt((0.5)*(0.5)/350)=0.027 and mu(p)=pi=0.5 so: z=(0.29-0.5)/0.027=-7.8 The p-value is essentially zero. This is a highly significant result and the null hypothesis should be rejected. The QA manager therefore has enough evidence to support her belief that the true proportion is less than claimed.